New poll: Trauner is catching Cubin
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Oct 29, 2006 Posted by Bill Luckett
Gary Trauner is statistically tied with Barbara Cubin in a new independent poll. The survey conducted by the Wyoming Tribune-Eagle shows Trauner at 40.4 percent, Cubin at 44 percent, Libertarian Thomas Rankin at 5 percent, and 8 percent of the voters undecided. The 3.6-point difference between Trauner and Cubin is within the poll's 4.2-percent margin of error, which means the race is considered a virtual dead heat. Only two weeks ago, Cubin's lead in another poll was 7 percent (44-37). Trauner is gaining support; Cubin is not.
One important revalation from the poll is that news events of the past week (such as Trauner soundly defeating Cubin in the Oct. 22 debate, Cubin's subsequent bizarre behavior, Gov. Freudenthal's endorsement of Trauner, and Trauner's latest excellent TV ad) seemed to have boosted Trauner's support. The poll was conducted from Oct. 18 to 25, so only a fraction of the survey captures the impact of the Oct. 22 debate. Still, the poll shows a strong surge in Trauner's support and a steep decline in Cubin's support as the week began.
Bottom line: Gary is in position to win this thing. We just have to work our tails off to make sure that happens.